Sunday, September 30, 2012

Democrat Registration Falls in Swing States

Ohio, an election swing state, has seen a steep decline in Democrat voter registration greater than other swing states. From four years ago, Ohio Democrat registration has declined 490,000 voters 44% of whom live in Cleveland and the surrounding area of Cuyahoga County where Republicans are usually outnumbered by Democrats 2:1. Additionally, 350,000 registrants are from the voter rolls in the three largest counties of Cuyahoga, Hamilton, and Franklin with large urban centers of customarily majority Democrat voters.
Ohio is not alone. An August study by the left-leaning think tank Third Way showed that the Democratic voter registration decline in eight key swing states outnumbered the Republican decline by a 10-to-one ratio. In Florida, Democratic registration is down 4.9 percent, in Iowa down 9.5 percent. And in New Hampshire, it's down down 19.7 percent.
The dip in registration has been framed by some as the result of Republican efforts to suppress the vote - an accusation that Ohio Secretary of State John Husted, a Republican, categorically rejects.
The drop in Democrat voter registrants, according to The Third Way, coincides with a sharp increase of about 500,000 Independent voters over four years ago. Although the Independent vote may tilt to Obama, Independents are an unstable voting block. Polls indicate Romney is doing better with Independents than Democrats which creates inconsistent data the media is using to boost Obama's poll numbers along with 2008 voting models instead with a large Democrat turnout rather the 2010 election in which the Democrats and Obama took a "shellacking" from the overwhelming Republican and TEA Party turnout.


Always On Watch said...

I wonder if something similar happened in 1980.

The polls back then showed Reagan losing. He didn't. **smile**

Indigo Red said...

I'm pretty sure it did, AOW. I was a Lib Dem back then and voted for the other guy. All the mailings I got were telling essentially the same story about Reagan as is being told today about Romney. It's not really an anti-Romney narrative; it's a stock anti-Republican narrative.

Obama and the LibDems are going to lose. It's in the air, you can feel it. We're told by the media there is no excitement and they're partially right. Our side knows the truth and so do a lot of Independents and we're all just waiting to cast the righteous vote to save America.