Sunday, February 14, 2010

Umm... The Dog Ate My Climate Change Data

Global climate change flashback:
Leo Hickman and agencies, Tuesday 24 November 2009 17.55 GMT

Professor Phil Jones Director of the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia in Norwich says charges of conspiracy over climate change are 'rubbish'. Photograph: University of East Anglia

The climatologist at the centre of the
leaked emails row said today that he "absolutely" stands by his research and that any suggestion that the emails provide evidence of a conspiracy to manipulate or hide data that do not support the theory of man-made climate change was "complete rubbish".

Professor Phil Jones, director of the University of East Anglia's
Climate Research Unit, said that the past week had been "the worst few days of my professional life". He added that since the emails were leaked he had received personal threats which have now been passed on to the police to investigate.
Flash forward to February 7, 2010, The Sunday Times:

THE scientist at the centre of the “climategate” email scandal has revealed that he was so traumatised by the global backlash against him that he contemplated suicide.

Professor Phil Jones said in an exclusive interview with The Sunday Times that he had thought about killing himself "several times."
Flash forward to today, Daily Mail l, 14th February 2010:

Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995, By Jonathan Petre

* Data for vital 'hockey stick graph' has gone missing
* There has been no global warming since 1995
* Warming periods have happened before - but NOT due to man-made changes

The academic at the centre of the ‘Climategate’ affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble ‘keeping track’ of the information.

Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.

Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is ‘not as good as it should be’.

The data is crucial to the famous ‘hockey stick graph’ used by climate change advocates to support the theory.

Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.

And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming.

The raw data, collected from hundreds of weather stations around the world and analysed by his unit, has been used for years to bolster efforts by the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to press governments to cut carbon dioxide emissions.
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) relied heavily on the dataset accumulated by Jones concluding that rising global temperatures were caused by human pollution, that the evidence was "unequivocal." The UN warned, "It warned that greenhouse gases had already heated the world by 0.7C and that there could be 5C-6C more warming by 2100, with devastating impacts on humanity and wildlife."

However, Professor John Christy, Atmospheric Science, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville and former chief IPCC author was quoted in today's Sunday Times,
"The temperature records cannot be relied on as indicators of global change."

The doubts of Christy and a number of other researchers focus on the thousands of weather stations around the world, which have been used to collect temperature data over the past 150 years.

These stations, they believe, have been seriously compromised by factors such as urbanisation, changes in land use and, in many cases, being moved from site to site. (...)

"The story is the same for each one," he said. "The popular data sets show a lot of warming but the apparent temperature rise was actually caused by local factors affecting the weather stations, such as land development."
Professor of economics at the University of Guelph, Canada, Ross McKitrick released his own study which has not yet been peer stating,

"We concluded, with overwhelming statistical significance, that the IPCC’s climate data are contaminated with surface effects from industrialisation and data quality problems. These add up to a large warming bias."
Anthony Watts supports those conclusions. The American meteorologist climate change skeptic has co-written a study focusing on weather station locations exhibiting readings distorted by heat generating equipment. The study has not been peer reviewed. However, the study is illustrated with photographs showing weather stations

next to air- conditioning units or are on waste treatment plants. One of the most infamous shows a weather station next to a waste incinerator.

Watts has also found examples overseas, such as the weather station at Rome airport, which catches the hot exhaust fumes emitted by taxiing jets.

In Britain, a weather station at Manchester airport was built when the surrounding land was mainly fields but is now surrounded by heat-generating buildings.
Even with the admissions, Professor Phil Jones maintains he did not cheat on

"the data or unfairly influenced the scientific process, and said he still believed recent temperature rises were predominantly man-made.

Asked about whether he lost track of data, Professor Jones said: ‘There is some truth in that. We do have a trail of where the weather stations have come from but it’s probably not as good as it should be."
Jones' colleagues have described his office as "piled high with paper, fragments from over the years, tens of thousands of pieces of paper, and they suspect what happened was he took in the raw data to a central database and then let the pieces of paper go because he never realised that 20 years later he would be held to account over them" and he confessed "the lack of organisation in the system had contributed to his reluctance to share data with critics, which he regretted."

Skeptic Dr. Benny Pieser, Global Warming Policy Foundation director, said Professor Jones' 'excuses' for his failure to share data were hollow as he had shared it with colleagues and 'mates'.

Someone should ask Prof Jones if he has a dog just to be sure.

The life of Indigo Red is full of adventure. Tune in next time for the Further Adventures of Indigo Red.


Mike's America said...

Despite ALL of these revelations the Warmists keep on telling us that we have to accept their massive tax increases (which won't do a THING to lower CO2 emissions) to save the planet.

A good list of all the latest warmer frauds here:

If global warming really is the problem these lefties say it is then why do they have to lie about it?

Indigo Red said...

As you know, Mike, it's not about warming or CO2 but power and a cult-like feeling of belonging to something greater than oneself. Among Liberals, Progressives, and Democrats there is always something greater than themselves, but truth is abhorrant.