Friday, November 25, 2005

US 2006 Troop Withdrawal No Secret

An American troop drawdown most certainly did not come as a surprise to Congressman John Murtha or the House Democrats. The House of Representatives knew for months that plans for US troops withdrawal had been in the works for months. The news has been common knowledge from India to China to England to the US. Personally, I knew about the plans in July.

Jan14,2005 Dawn Online Edition
US troops may quit Iraq this year: Powell
"US troops will begin leaving Iraq this year, Secretary of State Colin Powell said in an interview released by the State Department on Thursday... In the interview with National Public Radio, Mr Powell gave no timetable for troop withdrawal, but said: "I believe that during 2005 (the Iraqis) will be able to assume a greater burden, and ... the burden on our troops should go down, and we should start to see our numbers going in the other direction."

Would (former) Secratary of State Colin Powell lie?

Feb4,2005 Global Security
Big cuts in US forces in Iraq unlikely until 2006
"Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz said Thursday that the Pentagon plans to maintain 135,000 troops in Iraq through this year, with some 15,000 troops whose deployment had already been extended for the election expected to go home shortly.
It was widely believed that there would be no significant decrease in the American presence in Iraq through early 2006. A gradual reduction is expected to follow."

Wolfowitz is one of the guys who wanted the war. Why would he want it to end so soon?

May4,2005 Forbes
Iraqis hope to fully replace US troops by end-2006 - Iraq defence
"The Iraqi army will fully replace US-led coalition forces in the country by early 2007, once it has enough experience, Bruska Shaways, the director general of the Iraqi defence ministry said. 'By the end of 2005, we'll have fewer multinational forces (in Iraq) and by the end of 2006, it will be complete,' the number two official said, speaking of their withdrawal."

Iraq has made clear they intend to ask the US forces to leave as soon as Iraqi troops are ready. They know the risks of early withdrawal. If the Mr. Shaways thinks Iraq is ready, then we should believe him.

Jul27,2005 Guardian Unlimited
Iraqi PM urges speedy withdrawal of US troops
"Reuters quoted Mr Jaafari as saying it was the Iraqi people's "great desire" to see US-led forces leave and domestic forces take more responsibility.
Mr Rumsfeld said no exact timetable had been set but, speaking through a translator, said: "We confirm, and we desire, speed in that regard."
Earlier, General George Casey, the leading US military commander in Iraq, told reporters he believed a US troop withdrawal could begin by spring 2006.
However, he said expansion of the insurgency or political problems could hinder such a move.
The general made a similar prediction earlier this year - but the Iraqi insurgency worsened after Mr Jaafari's government took power in April."

This is the kind of operation that puts Generals in history books. General Casey has every vain-glorious reason to prolong the war, but he's saying Iraq will be ready by the end of 2006.

Jul27,2005 China Daily
Iraq wants quick U.S. troops withdrawal
"Iraq's transitional prime minister called Wednesday for a speedy withdrawal of U.S. troops and the top U.S. commander said he believed a 'fairly substantial' pullout could begin next spring and summer."

A substantial pullout in the spring and summer of 2006 at the height of the battle season is not generally the brightest move. The Iraqis again are saying they can handle the risks.

Jul28,2005 NewsMax
U.S. General Seeks Iraq Pullout by 2006
"Pentagon officials have provided little detail in discussing the possible withdrawal of forces from Iraq. The most specific estimate has come from Lt. Gen. John Vines, who runs day-to-day military operations in Iraq. He said in June that a reduction of "four or five brigades" - perhaps 20,000 troops out of the current 135,000 - was possible sometime next year."

Vines is the guy who actually runs the war, the decision guy closest to the fight and he says we can leave in 2006.

Jul28,2005 Washington Post
U.S. Signals Spring Start for Pullout
"The top U.S. military leader in Iraq said Wednesday there could be substantial withdrawals of some of the 135,000 U.S. troops in the country as early as next spring.
Gen. George W. Casey said that despite continued lethal attacks by insurgents, the security situation in Iraq had improved. He reiterated a position he had taken earlier this year on the possible decrease in the U.S. military presence during a one-day visit by Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld for meetings with Prime Minister Ibrahim Jafari."

Just to be sure everybody heard him, Gen. Casey repeats his belief that American troops can start their withdrawal in 2006.

Aug1,2005 The Independent Institute
The Politics of Troop Withdrawal
"In Iraq, like everywhere else, if things don’t add up, it is safe to assume that politics is involved. Although the insurgency in recent months has worsened, Gen. George W. Casey, the commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, astonishingly claims that security in Iraq has improved and that substantial U.S. troop withdrawals are possible by as early as next spring. What gives? The congressional elections in 2006."

Even the anti-war folks at The Independent Institute were aware of the American intention to withdraw although the author is skeptical of the reasons and timing. No surprise, but it remains, the anti-war guys knew.

Aug8,2005 Australian Broadcasting Corporation
US plans large scale Iraq troop withdrawal in 2006
"For its part the Bush administration is making preparations for a large scale withdrawal of US troops from Iraq by the middle of next year.The New York Times is reporting that senior Pentagon officials are formulating a plan to remove up to 30,000 of the 138,000 US troops if security conditions improve."

The Aussies were aware of the plan. Didn't Murtha read the New York Times?

U.S. General Outlines Possible Troop Withdrawal in Iraq
"The top U.S. military commander in the Middle East has outlined a plan to reduce U.S. forces in Iraq by some 20,000 to 30,000 troops by the middle of next year, The New York Times reported Aug. 7.
If December’s vote goes according to plan, U.S. forces could be reduced to around 138,000, and then by another 20,000 to 30,000 by late spring, the Times said, citing senior officers."

Good grief! Even the French press had heard the American troops could be reduced in 2006.

Sep 29,2005 Defense and the National Interest
Iraq Drawdown Plan Offers Wide-Ranging Options, Including Big Cuts
"A wide-ranging U.S. military plan for reducing forces in Iraq includes a best-case option to cut the “steady state” of approximately 140,000 troops in half by spring 2006, according to officials who have seen the blueprint approved by Gen. George Casey, the top Army officer in Iraq."

Not just a rumor anymore, people have actually seen actual blueprints approved by Casey. It's written down and officials are reading and evaluating the plan. Now, it's up to the terrorists and insurgents as to whether we can really leave. If they refrain from killing too many people and destroying too much infrastructure, we will have no reason to stay.

The only reason the bad guys would have for preventing American troops from leaving is the allure and ease that our presence in Iraq provides in killing an infidel, thus guaranteeing a ticket to heaven.

The Murtha demand came on the heels of well known information and was nothing but a political stunt that backfired when House Republicans called their bluff. When Murtha conducted his own on-line poll asking if Americans supported his immediate withdrawal demand, he had to withdraw the poll because he was losing by a landslide. We all want the troops home, but when the job is done and Iraqis can stand on their own.

The life of Indigo Red is full of adventure. Tune in next time for the Further Adventures of Indigo Red.


dcat said...

Till then we will stay the corse!

...So will the worthless Cindy crowd!

Tom C said...

Does anybody know anything about a troop pull out?;)

Indigo Red said...

Well, Tom, I've heard rumors about my neighbors, the Camp Pendleton Marines will be pulling out of California soon to forward deployment positions in France. But, that's just a rumor.

Tom C said...

My god! What will they do for wine?
To be so far from Napa vally,in the land of hairy pitted women! This is to much to ask of them!